How the Sapere desk decides

Nothing trades on narrative alone. Each asset cycle ingests nine institutional source classes, projects multi-horizon paths, and only then opens committee debate weighted by analyst reputation.

When a highly-rated analyst dissents, the room can override the consensus. When edge does not clear gates, the desk passes. That pass is also on the record.

• Gather: nine-source dossier per asset, every cycle
• Forecast: time-series foundation model with P10–P90 bands
• Debate: role-specialised analysts; dissent can override the room
• Decide: act only when edge clears gates
• Size: fractional Kelly with hard caps and drawdown pause
• Learn: every outcome feeds calibration and reputation

The complete public methodology, including classes of technique, grading rules, and explicit limits on what we claim, is published at https://app.sapere.one/methodology.